Estimated Reading Time:8 minutes
It’s easy at the end of each NFL season to look at where players ranked in fantasy football, but understanding why they finished where they did is often more important when projecting future production.
For the defensive back position, tackles are important, but a defensive back's ability to make big plays often separates the scoring leaders from the rest of the pack. However, big plays, such as interceptions, sacks and fumbles, are also wildly unstable, so focusing more on which safeties and cornerbacks can deliver strong tackle numbers is often the best starting point for IDP.
All expected tackle figures for defensive backs are derived from a combination of each player's individual play and situation. Focusing on their alignment, run or pass situation, what type of coverage they’re in and how many snaps they played, their efficiency is compared to their peers' larger pool.
Safeties
Top performers
Among the 28 eligible safeties (non-rookies) who finished among the top 75th percentile in tackles versus expected this season, 23 (82%) finished with a positive score in this regard last year as well.
The repeat elites
All of these safeties finished no worse than the top 85th percentile in tackles versus expected last season and were able to repeat among the top 85th percentile again in 2025. They have been the most consistent and efficient tacklers relative to their situations over the past two seasons combined and are now strong bets to keep that going heading into 2026.
- Budda Baker, Arizona Cardinals
- Jordan Poyer, Buffalo Bills
- Dadrion Taylor-Demerson, Arizona Cardinals
- Jordan Battle, Cincinnati Bengals
- Kamren Kinchens, Los Angeles Rams
- Nick Cross, Indianapolis Colts
- DeShon Elliott, Pittsburgh Steelers
- Brian Branch, Detroit Lions
Surprise names
This list of safeties all finished in the top 85th percentile at the position in tackles versus expected after finishing with negative scores in 2024. They represent the high variance IDP managers often see at the defensive back position as a whole. With less stability in their production from year to year, some of these names may come back down to Earth in 2026.
- Kamren Curl, Los Angeles Rams
- Nick Scott, Carolina Panthers
- Jeremy Reaves, Washington Commanders
- Geno Stone, Cincinnati Bengals
Other names of note
These are players who have also performed exceptionally well in recent years and remain solid options for IDP if they maintain the same level of production as repeat positive performers in this metric. With positive deployments on a full-time basis, they should be considered solid bets to potentially lead this metric in future seasons, given their stronger track records.
- Jeremy Chinn, Las Vegas Raiders
- Juan Thornhill, Jacksonville Jaguars
- Derwin James, Los Angeles Chargers
- Evan Williams, Green Bay Packers
- Javon Bullard, Green Bay Packers
- Christian Roland-Wallace, Kansas City Chiefs
- Chamarri Conner, Kansas City Chiefs
- Brandon Jones, Denver Broncos
- Tony Adams, New York Jets
Underperformers
This year, several new players entered the league and came in below expectations in the tackle column and are potentially at risk of being inefficient in future years as well. It’s also worth noting that 57% of qualifying players (non-rookies) in the bottom 25th percentile this season finished with a negative score in this metric last season.
Repeat underperformers to the bottom 25th percentile
These are the safeties who have been among the worst tacklers relative to their position over the past two seasons and should be considered riskier IDP options considering the lower tackle potential heading into 2026.
- Harrison Smith, Minnesota Vikings
- Calen Bullock, Houston Texans
- Jevon Holland, New York Giants
- Jalen Ramsey, Pittsburgh Steelers
- C.J. Gardner-Johnson, Chicago Bears
- Ji’Ayir Brown, San Francisco 49ers
- Kerby Joseph, Detroit Lions
- Jaylinn Hawkins, New England Patriots
- Donovan Wilson, Dallas Cowboys
- Jason Pinnock, San Francisco 49ers
Rookies who underdelivered as tacklers in Year 1
Given their usage, deployment and tackle production, this group didn’t quite match their peers' production in similar situations, making them names to watch going forward due to the risk of inefficiency carrying over to future seasons. It isn’t a guarantee that this inefficiency will hold, considering there is still a fair amount of variance in this metric, but they will be worth monitoring at the very least.
- Xavier Watts, Atlanta Falcons
- R.J. Mickens, Los Angeles Chargers
- Dean Clark, New York Jets
- Craig Woodson, New England Patriots
- Jonas Sanker, New Orleans Saints
- Malaki Starks, Baltimore Ravens
- Andrew Mukuba, Philadelphia Eagles
Surprise names
Again, variance at the defensive back position is less of a surprise, though considering some strong showings in 2024, these players making the bottom 25th percentile now in 2025 is at least somewhat concerning. Like with all defensive back production, there is room to bounce back as soon as next season, but it’s worth highlighting some of the new names who went from positive scorers last year to near the bottom this year.
- Grant Delpit, Cleveland Browns
- Reed Blankenship, Philadelphia Eagles
- Julian Love, Seattle Seahawks
- Minkah Fitzpatrick, Miami Dolphins
- Taylor Rapp, Buffalo Bills
Prepare for the 2026 NFL Draft with PFF+
Your complete draft preparation toolkit
Mock Draft Simulator 2026 NFL Draft Big Board Big Board Builder NCAA Premium Stats SubscribeCornerbacks
Top performers
Among the 29 eligible cornerbacks (non-rookies) who finished among the top 75th percentile in tackles versus expected this season, 17 (59%) finished with a positive score in this regard last year as well. Unlike the safety position, which is already an unstable position, the cornerback position is typically much harder to predict, though this metric is at least better than most in that regard, especially on the high and low ends of the spectrum.
The repeat elites
All of these cornerbacks finished no worse than the top 80th percentile in tackles versus expected last season and were able to repeat among the top 80th percentile again in 2025. They have been the most consistent and efficient tacklers relative to their situations over the past two seasons combined and are now strong bets to keep that going heading into 2026.
- Paulson Adebo, New York Giants
- Devon Witherspoon, Seattle Seahawks
- Dee Alford, Atlanta Falcons
- Taron Johnson, Buffalo Bills
- Marcus Jones, New England Patriots
- Chau Smith-Wade, Carolina Panthers
- Tyrique Stevenson, Chicago Bears
- Andru Phillips, New York Giants
- Carlton Davis, New England Patriots
Surprise names
These players are either new names for IDP, either due to being rookies or first-time starters, who immediately hit the ground running and established themselves as players to watch for IDP purposes going forward. They can also be names who were not positive scorers in this metric last season and turned things around this year.
- Upton Stout, San Francisco 49ers
- Kamari Lassiter, Houston Texans
- Trent McDuffie, Kansas City Chiefs
- Adoree’ Jackson, Philadelphia Eagles
- Christian Gonzalez, New England Patriots
- Shavon Revel, Dallas Cowboys
Underperformers
A lot of the league’s best coverage cornerbacks often come in well below expectations in the tackle column, as opposing offenses aren’t targeting them at a high rate, leading to lower tackle opportunities overall. This year, 20 of 30 (67%) qualifying players (non-rookies) ranked in the bottom 25th percentile this season finished with a negative score in this metric last season. Moreover, 80% (10) of cornerbacks who finished in the bottom sixth percentile in 2025 all finished in the bottom 25th percentile last year.
Repeat underperformers to the bottom 25th percentile
These are the cornerbacks who have been among the worst tacklers relative to their position over the past two seasons and should be considered riskier IDP options considering the lower tackle potential heading into 2026.
- Derek Stingley, Houston Texans
- Jaycee Horn, Carolina Panthers
- DJ Turner, Cincinnati Bengals
- Quinyon Mitchell, Philadelphia Eagles
- Pat Surtain II, Denver Broncos
- Tariq Woolen, Seattle Seahawks
- Donte Jackson, Los Angeles Chargers
- Cobie Durant, Los Angeles Rams
- Tre’Davious White, Buffalo Bills
- Christian Benford, Buffalo Bills
- Josh Newton, Cincinnati Bengals
- Sauce Gardner, Indianapolis Colts
- Darious Williams, Los Angeles Rams
Surprise names
While the inefficient tacklers at the position are typically more stable year-to-year, that doesn’t mean that there won’t be new names added to that list, including ones who have previously performed well in this metric. Like with all defensive back production, there is room to bounce back as soon as next season, but it’s worth highlighting some of the new names who went from positive scorers last year to near the bottom this year.
- Deommodore Lenoir, San Francisco 49ers
- Jourdan Lewis, Jacksonville Jaguars
- Amik Robertson, Detroit Lions
- Ja'Quan McMillian, Denver Broncos
- Montaric Brown, Jacksonville Jaguars
Interested IDP managers can view the full list of positional rankings in Tackles vs Expected for this season and dating back to 2021 here.